LME Lead and Shanghai-London Spread Continue Range-Bound Fluctuations, Awaiting Next Week's Macro Guidance [SMM Lead Morning Briefing]

Published: Sep 12, 2025 09:01
[SMM Lead Morning Brief: LME Lead and SHFE/LME Ratio Continue Range-Bound Fluctuations, Awaiting Macro Guidance Next Week] SMM, September 12: Overnight, LME lead opened at $1,986.5/mt. After opening, it fluctuated rangebound between $1,985/mt and $1,990/mt...

SMM September 12:

Overnight, LME lead opened at $1,986.5/mt. After opening, it fluctuated rangebound between $1,985-1,990/mt. During the European session, its trading center moved downward near $1,980/mt. Later, due to a decline in lead ingot inventory and a drop in the US dollar index, LME lead reversed its trend and rebounded overnight, approaching the $2,000/mt mark at one point during the session, but ultimately failed to hold above it. It finally closed at $1,995.5/mt, up 0.35%.

Overnight, the most-traded SHFE lead 2510 contract opened at 16,860 yuan/mt. Weighed down by an accumulation of lead warrant inventory, SHFE lead performed weaker than during the day at the beginning of the session, then gradually fluctuated upward, continuing the recent rangebound trend. It finally closed at 16,900 yuan/mt, up 0.24%, with open interest at 49,603 lots, flat from the previous trading day.

Data Source Statement: Except for publicly available information, all other data are processed by SMM based on publicly available information, market communication, and relying on SMM‘s internal database model. They are for reference only and do not constitute decision-making recommendations.

For any inquiries or to learn more information, please contact: lemonzhao@smm.cn
For more information on how to access our research reports, please contact:service.en@smm.cn
Related News
Lead Prices Stagnant, Smelters Maintain Firm Offers Amid Losses
Feb 6, 2026 19:50
Lead Prices Stagnant, Smelters Maintain Firm Offers Amid Losses
Read More
Lead Prices Stagnant, Smelters Maintain Firm Offers Amid Losses
Lead Prices Stagnant, Smelters Maintain Firm Offers Amid Losses
Lead prices were in the doldrums, while secondary lead smelters maintained firm offers due to losses. The mainstream spot order ex-factory prices including tax narrowed the discount to the SMM #1 lead average price by 100 yuan/mt, shifting to a premium of 0–25 yuan/mt, with some smelters halting offers and sales.
Feb 6, 2026 19:50
"Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market Slows as Holidays Approach, Smelters Halt Production"
Feb 6, 2026 19:49
"Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market Slows as Holidays Approach, Smelters Halt Production"
Read More
"Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market Slows as Holidays Approach, Smelters Halt Production"
"Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market Slows as Holidays Approach, Smelters Halt Production"
Pre-holiday stockpiling by downstream enterprises had largely concluded, and a few had already entered the holiday period, completely suspending procurement. Next week, secondary lead smelters will enter a concentrated wave of production halts and holidays, resulting in sluggish trading activity in the spot market. Offers for spot refined lead orders were sparse, with prices moving in line with the market.
Feb 6, 2026 19:49
Sluggish Transactions in Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market, Prices at 15,250-15,400 Yuan/mt
Feb 6, 2026 19:48
Sluggish Transactions in Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market, Prices at 15,250-15,400 Yuan/mt
Read More
Sluggish Transactions in Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market, Prices at 15,250-15,400 Yuan/mt
Sluggish Transactions in Domestic Secondary Crude Lead Market, Prices at 15,250-15,400 Yuan/mt
The domestic secondary crude lead market experienced sluggish transactions. As of February 6, 2026, the ex-factory tax-exclusive offers for domestic secondary crude lead stood at 15,250-15,400 yuan/mt. Downstream refined lead and alloy smelters gradually entered the holiday period, showing weak stockpiling willingness. Overseas lead ingot suppliers basically halted transactions with China due to poor consumption in the Chinese market, with only some previously concluded shipments maintaining normal in-transit transportation. The trading atmosphere in the secondary crude lead market will continue to weaken next week.
Feb 6, 2026 19:48